Fuzzy consequence modelling of hydrocarbon offshore pipeline
نویسندگان
چکیده مقاله:
The traditional event tree analysis uses a single probability to represent each top event. However, it is unrealistic to evaluate the occurrence of each event by using a crisp value without considering the inherent uncertainty and imprecision a state has. The fuzzy set theory is universally applied to deal with this kind of phenomena. The main purpose of this study is to construct an easy method to evaluate human errors and integrate them into event tree analysis by using fuzzy concepts. A systematic fuzzy event tree analysis algorithm is developed to evaluate the risk of a largescale system. A practical example in of offshore oil pipeline is used to demonstrate this procedure.
منابع مشابه
fuzzy consequence modelling of hydrocarbon offshore pipeline
the traditional event tree analysis uses a single probability to represent each top event. however, it is unrealistic to evaluate the occurrence of each event by using a crisp value without considering the inherent uncertainty and imprecision a state has. the fuzzy set theory is universally applied to deal with this kind of phenomena. the main purpose of this study is to construct an easy metho...
متن کاملModelling and Control of Offshore Marine Pipeline During Pipelay
A model suited for control tasks is developed for a submerged offshore pipe during the pipelay operation. The pipe is fixed in the touchdown point at the seabed in one end and attached to a pipelay vessel in the other end. The developed model is discrete and is on the form of the robot equation with minimal coordinates. Thus the methods of controller synthesis and stability analysis can be appl...
متن کاملModelling offshore sand waves
Offshore activities often encounter large scale sand patterns, such as sand waves. Sand waves are offshore bed forms occurring at water depths of 10 to 50 m. Their wavelengths can lead up to 500 m and their heights are typically several metres. Furthermore, sand waves have been shown to migrate, with typical velocities of up to metres per year. These dynamic sand waves decrease the least naviga...
متن کاملanalysis of offshore pipeline allowable free span length
determination of allowable free span length plays a crucial role in design of offshore pipelines. the seabed intervention cost and safety of an offshore pipelines project are largely influenced by pipelines free spanning during the project life time. different criteria are proposed by both the current designing guidelines and researchers there is however lack of comprehensive assessment of inde...
متن کاملModelling offshore sand wave evolution
We present a two-dimensional vertical (2DV) flow and morphological numerical model describing the behaviour of offshore sand waves. The model contains the 2DV shallow water equations, with a free water surface and a general bed load formula. The water movement is coupled to the sediment transport equation by a seabed evolution equation. Using this model, we investigate the evolution of sand wav...
متن کاملOptimal Design of Offshore Natural-Gas Pipeline Systems
Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use, available at http://www.jstor.org/about/terms.html. JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use provides, in part, that unless you have obtained prior permission, you may not download an entire issue of a journal or multiple copies of articles, and you may use content in the JSTOR archive only for your perso...
متن کاملمنابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ذخیره در منابع من قبلا به منابع من ذحیره شده{@ msg_add @}
عنوان ژورنال
دوره 1 شماره 1
صفحات 3- 12
تاریخ انتشار 2011-12-19
با دنبال کردن یک ژورنال هنگامی که شماره جدید این ژورنال منتشر می شود به شما از طریق ایمیل اطلاع داده می شود.
میزبانی شده توسط پلتفرم ابری doprax.com
copyright © 2015-2023